Best Picture, Editing, Make-up, VFX, Score, Sound, and Song: LotR: RotK (sweep sweep sweep)
Director: Peter Jackson (BoW award for all three films)
Actor: Sean Penn (though Depp's SAG award opens this category up way more than I was expecting...)
Supporting Actor: Tim Robbins
Supporting Actress: Renee Z. (I haven't actually seen any of the films that the actor picks from. Going all on buzz, reviews, and gut)
Script: Lost in Translation
Adapted Script: Mystic River (one of the two award I'm not giving to LotRs.)
Cinematography: Toss up: Master and Commander or Cold Mountain. I haven't seen cold mountain but I think the academy will be tossing Master and Commander this award so it doesn't go home empty handed.
Art Direction: I'm tempted to go LotRs, but I think it will actually goto Girl with a Pearl Earring. The academy loves period pieces for this award...
Costume Design: Talk about a dead-heat category... I'm going to go with LotR though to bring the grand total upto 9.
Make-Up: LotRs perhaps deserves this award more than any other this year. Just ask ol' puss-eye!
SFX Editing: Master and Commander? Pirates? Pirates HAS to win something... SO I'll say PotC.
Animated Feature: Biggest Lock of the whole night: Finding Nemo!
Forien Language: Barbarian Invasions (it sounds a lot more exciting that it actually is)
Doc Feature: Fog of War. Errol Morris? Oh hell yeah!
Doc Short: I'm going to go out on a limb here and say Chernobyl Hearts
LA Short: ??? What the hell do I know... Two Soldiers. Whatever...
Animated Short: Destino!!! I hope Roy Disney is good an' drunk when he makes his speech too!
There Ya go! I had a little better than 50% average last year... I think I'll do better this year with the inevitable LotR sweep! I have it picked for 9 awards, just 2 short of the record held by Ben Hur and Titanic. I would really LOVE it if it were to beat that record as it is one of the landmark films of my lifetime (much more so that Titanic!!!) But I don't think it'll happen...